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[General Chat] Yesterday's BBC article on security risks on the Korean Peninsula

3years ago
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The situation on the Korean Peninsula is very unstable

For every given "provocation" by the North, South Korea - and some times the United States - retaliates. South Korea (sometimes the United States) has responded to North Korea's provocations.

This began in May 2022, with the arrival of a new South Korean president, who promised to be tougher on North Korea. This situation began in May last year when President Yoon Seok-ryul took power. President Yoon Suk-yeol is guided by the belief that the best way to stop the North is to respond with military strength. Yoon believes that the best way to deal with North Korea is by force.

He re-started large-scale joint military exercises with the United States, where the North was tested and launched more missiles.

This set off-for-tat cycle of militaristic action, which has invaded both sides flying near to their border, and flying artillery into the sea.

Last week, when the North did not expect five drones into South Korean airspace. Last week, things got worse and North Korea flew five drones into the South.

The South failed to shoot them down, and the North's activities were exposed. Koreans are usually insensitive to North Korea's provocations, but even ordinary Koreans are worried about this situation.

Yoon Suk Yeol retaliated against all North Korean provocations and said it would punish North Korea.

Chad O'Carroll, CEO of Korea Risk Group, analysis service which monitors North Korea, predicted that in 2023, this could be like between the two Koreans and a direct confrontation results in deaths. Chad O'Carroll, who works in risk analysis in Korea, warned that there is a high possibility of an all-out war in Korea in 2023 and that many people could die.

"Responses by the North or the South could see the exchange of active fire, intentional or otherwise," he said. Anywhere in the South or North, intentionally or not, is a situation where a war could start.

One mistake or miscalculation and the situation could spiral. One mistake, or misjudgment, can lead to an uncontrollable spiral.

—-
I translated it with a partial excerpt. The full text is on the link.

출처 : https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-64123657.amp